The 7-seed Golden State Warriors travel to play the 2-seed Houston Rockets in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA playoffs on Sunday evening. The series has shifted after the Warriors went up 3-1 following Game 5. The Rockets have won two straight matchups, including a 115-107 victory on Friday. Two of Houston’s victories this series have been by more than 10 points, with both games coming at home.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET from the Toyota Center in Houston. Houston is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Rockets vs. Warriors odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 205.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Rockets picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Rockets vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Rockets spread: Houston -2.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Warriors vs. Rockets over/under: 205.5 points
- Warriors vs. Rockets money line: Houston -135, Golden State +114
- HOU: Rockets are 47-40-1 against the spread this season
- GS: Warriors are 43-43-3 against the spread this season
- Warriors vs. Rockets picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Warriors vs. Rockets streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Warriors can cover
Guard Stephen Curry is a mercenary from the perimeter due to his knockdown jumper and lightning-quick release. He ranks first on the team in points (24.3) and assists (5.5) in the 2025 NBA playoffs, while shooting 39.1% from beyond the arc. In his last outing, Curry totaled 29 points and seven boards, while knocking down six 3-pointers.
Guard Brandin Podziemski provides this team with another ball handler and shot creator in the backcourt. Podziemski logs 11.3 points, 4.3 boards, and 3.2 assists per game. The Santa Clara product has scored 10-plus points in four games this series. In the Game 4 victory, Podziemski finished with 26 points, five boards, and five assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Rockets can cover
Center Alperen Sengun has been an impactful force in multiple areas for Houston. Sengun leads the team in points (20.8), rebounds (11.5), assists (5.3), and steals (2) in the postseason. The 22-year-old has four double-doubles this series against Golden State. In his previous outing, Sengun stuffed the stat sheet with 21 points, 14 boards, and six dimes.
Guard Fred VanVleet has been on a heater for the past three games. He has poured in 25-plus points in Games 4-6. In the Game 6 win, VanVleet had a series-high 29 points, eight boards, and eight assists. The 31-year-old has also knocked down four-plus 3-pointers in three consecutive contests. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Warriors vs. Rockets picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets and is leaning Over the total, projecting 208 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Warriors vs. Rockets, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Rockets spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
