The best team in the West will take on last year’s Western Conference champions on Thursday when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Dallas Mavericks. Oklahoma City is 36-7 on the season and tops the West standings, while Dallas is 23-21 coming off a trip to the NBA Finals in 2023-24. This will be the fourth and final regular-season matchup between these two franchises this season, and Dallas has won and covered in two of the three previous meetings.
Tip-off from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla., is set for 8 p.m. ET. OKC is a 13.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 222. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Thunder picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 136-99 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma City vs. Dallas and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Thunder:
- Thunder vs. Mavericks spread: Oklahoma City -13.5
- Thunder vs. Mavericks over/under: 222 points
- Thunder vs. Mavericks money line: Oklahoma City -862, Dallas +582
- Thunder vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Thunder vs. Mavericks streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
On Wednesday, the Thunder were able to grind out a solid victory over the Jazz, taking the game 123-114. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had another dominant performance, scoring 54 points to go along with eight rebounds and five assists. The game was his 12th in a row with at least 30 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander is the NBA’s leading scorer (32.0 ppg) and he’s an NBA MVP frontrunner while averaging 6.1 assists, 5.4 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 1.1 blocks per game as well. His continued evolution into one of the league’s most complete players has helped Oklahoma City thrive while playing small ball with Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) and Chet Holmgren (hip) both out. See which team to pick here.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Meanwhile, the Mavericks were just a bucket shy of victory on Wednesday and fell 115-114 to the Timberwolves. The losing side was boosted by Kyrie Irving, who almost dropped a double-double on 36 points and nine assists. It was only the third time all season the Mavs have lost when he posts at least 20 points (9-3), but they are 14-18 otherwise.
Dallas will once again be without superstar Luka Doncic (calf), who has been out since Christmas. The Mavericks are also without Dereck Lively II (ankle) and didn’t have Dwight Powell (hip), Klay Thompson (ankle), Naji Marshall (illness) and Jaden Hardy (ankle) available against Minnesota on Wednesday, but they still managed to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. See which team to pick here.
How to make Thunder vs. Mavericks picks
The model has simulated Dallas vs. Oklahoma City 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going over on the total, projecting a combined 223 points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Thunder vs. Mavs, and which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 136-99 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
