The 1-seed Oklahoma City Thunder will host the No. 8-seed Memphis Grizzlies in Game 1 of their first-round matchup on Sunday. The Grizzlies were able to bounce back after dropping their first play-in game against the Golden State Warriors. Memphis went on to defeat the Dallas Mavericks, 120-106, on Friday to punch their ticket to the NBA playoff bracket. Meanwhile, the Thunder ended the regular season on a four-game losing streak, but finished with the league’s best record at 68-14.
Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. OKC is a 13.5-point favorite in the latest Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 230.5. Oklahoma City’s over/under for total team points is 122.5. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Thunder:
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -13.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder over/under: 230.5 points
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -1000, Memphis +650
- OKC: Thunder are 53-26-4 against the spread this season
- MEM: Grizzlies are 43-40-1 against the spread this season
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played at an MVP level this season, and he rolls into the NBA playoffs with momentum. Gilgeous-Alexander led the NBA in scoring (32.7) to go along with five rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. He had 13 games with 40-plus points this season. In his last outing, Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 42 points, six rebounds, and six dimes.
Power forward Chet Holmgren is a lengthy difference-maker in the frontcourt. Holmgren logged 15 points, eight rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per game. Back on April 9 against the Suns, Holmgren had 22 points, 10 rebounds, and four assists. That was his 11th double-double of the campaign. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Guard Ja Morant is a shifty and athletic ball handler for the Grizzlies. He ranked first on the team in points (23.2) and assists (7.3) to go along with 4.3 rebounds per game. In the play-in win over the Mavs, Morant finished with 22 points, seven rebounds, and nine assists. Morant has scored at least 30 points in three of his past seven games.
Power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. is a two-way force who can space the floor as well. Jackson Jr. averages 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game. In addition, he makes 37.5% of his 3-pointers. On March 27 against the Thunder, Jackson Jr. finished with 27 points, two blocks, and made five threes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Thunder and is leaning Under the total, projecting 225 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
