A Western Conference showdown is set to take place when the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Houston Rockets on Thursday night. The Timberwolves have dominated this series in recent years, winning 11 of the past 13 meetings against the Rockets. However, Houston enters Thursday’s bout with a 32-18 overall record, but the Rockets are just 1-4 in their past five games. Houston’s over/under for total team points is 107.5, while Minnesota’s is 106.5.
Tipoff from the Target Center in Minneapolis is set for 8 p.m. ET. Houston is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Rockets vs. Timberwolves odds from SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 214.5. See all the latest Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds, expert picks, and predictions here.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 144-102 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Timberwolves. Here are several NBA betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Rockets:
Top Rockets vs. Timberwolves picks
For Timberwolves vs. Rockets, SportsLine’s model is backing the Rockets to secure a 107-103 victory on the road. The model has taken into account that Houston has lost its last three road games, however, the Rockets still have great road splits. Houston is 17-10 straight-up and against the spread on the road this season with a +5 point differential in away games.
Despite the Timberwolves covering as 11.5-point favorites against the Bulls at home last night, Minnesota isn’t that much better at home versus on the road. The Timberwolves are 13-12 straight-up and 6-18 against the spread on their home floor with a +4 point differential at the Target Center. The model also notes that the Timberwolves could be dealing with fatigue as this is their third game in four days and their fourth game in the past six days. That’s a big reason why the model has the Rockets winning outright in 60% of simulations.
The model is also high on Rockets forward Amen Thompson to go Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists at -120 odds (risk $120 to win $100). The model is projecting Thompson will finish with 31.7 points + rebounds + assists against the Timberwolves. Thompson is a versatile player and with Fred VanVleet out basically the last three games, he’s taken over point guard duties and has racked up 26 assists in those three contests. The model is banking that his increased usage will continue with VanVleet out again. Thompson is averaging 34.1 P+R+A and has gone over this projected total (29.5) five times over his last eight games. See all of the model’s NBA player props for Rockets vs. Timberwolves right here.
The model projects a 107-103 win for the Rockets as they cover the spread 59% of the time and the Under hits in 56% of simulations. Get more NBA picks for every game tonight at SportsLine.
Projected final score: Rockets 107, Timberwolves 103
Get Rockets vs. Timberwolves expert picks
Now that you know how to pick Rockets vs. Timberwolves, be sure to see all of SportsLine’s NBA picks. SportsLine’s proven model has simulated every game 10,000 times and a team of Vegas experts are also locking in their best bets for the day, including Mike Barner, who is on a 68-44 run on his NBA player prop picks (+1606), and already has two picks locked in for tonight’s action. See them all right here.
Who wins every NBA game on Thursday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from an NBA model that’s up well over $10,000 and a team of proven Vegas experts, and find out.
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