The Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11) and the Denver Nuggets (41-23) link up in a battle of Western Conference foes on Monday night in the second leg of a back-to-back. The Thunder are keeping the positive momentum going. On Sunday, OKC beat the Nuggets 127-103, winning their seventh straight game. That loss for Denver snapped their two-game win streak. Aaron Gordon (calf) is day-to-day.
Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is at 8 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 9-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 239. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Nuggets picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Nuggets vs. Thunder:
- Nuggets vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -9
- Nuggets vs. Thunder over/under: 239 points
- Nuggets vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -378, Denver +298
- OKC: Thunder are 38-23-4 against the spread this season
- DEN: Nuggets are 31-32-1 against the spread this season
- Nuggets vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Nuggets vs. Thunder streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a crafty scorer and playmaker with great vision. Gilgeous-Alexander leads the NBA in points (32.8) with 5.1 rebounds and a team-high 6.2 assists per game. He’s scored 40-plus points in three straight games. In Monday’s win over the Rockets, Gilgeous-Alexander totaled 51 points, five rebounds and seven assists.
Forward Jalen Williams scores from all three levels and uses his length to be a pesky defender. Williams logs 21.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. The 23-year-old has tallied 20-plus points in seven straight games. In Sunday’s win over the Nuggets, Williams finished with 26 points, nine rebounds and eight assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Nuggets can cover
Center Nikola Jokic impacts the game in different ways. Jokic can orchestrate the offense and owns the soft touch around the rim. Jokic is third in the league in points (28.9) and rebounds (12.9) while being second in assists (10.6). In Friday’s win over the Suns, Jokic posted 31 points, 21 boards and 22 assists. He was the first player in NBA history to post a 30-20-20 stat line.
Guard Christian Braun brings athleticism and a solid floor spacer onto the floor. Braun averages 15.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and shoots 57% from the floor. The Kansas product has scored 20-plus points in 15 games this season. On March 2 against the Boston Celtics, Braun racked up 24 points, six rebounds and three assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Nuggets vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs. Nuggets and is leaning Under the total, projecting 227 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder on Monday, and which side of the spread hits 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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