Portland will try to snap a two-game losing streak when it travels to New Orleans on Wednesday night, and the performance of Trail Blazers small forward Deni Avdija will be a key factor in the outcome. Avdija is averaging 25.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game this season, playing at least 35 minutes in four straight games. He was one of the league’s top rebounders down the stretch last season, but his slow rebounding start to the year has contributed to a low total in the Wednesday NBA odds. SportsLine’s proven computer model and Inside the Lines team are backing the Over (7.5) for Avdija with their Wednesday NBA best bets. You can find even more best bets at the Inside the Lines live blog.
Targeting NBA player props will be a popular way to approach Wednesday’s NBA betting at online sports betting sites. With NBA odds available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, the ITL team’s model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, can help you find value to add to your Wednesday NBA picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Underdog Fantasy promo code CBSSPORTS2 to claim $100 in bonus entries with a $5 entry:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 26-13 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Best NBA player prop picks on Wednesday:
- Cedric Coward, Grizzlies, Over 12.5 points (-103)
- Deni Advija, Trail Blazers, Over 7.5 rebounds (+105)
- Mark Williams, Suns, Over 12.5 points (-118)
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Cedric Coward, Grizzlies, Over 12.5 points (-103)
“I’m going to give Coward a chance to redeem himself after he only scored 11 points last night because he missed all 5 of his 3pt attempts in Madison Square Garden. Maybe the bright lights of NY were too bright. Coward was shooting 44% from 3pt range before that game,” SportsLine senior data analyst Stephen Oh said. “The positives from yesterday was he played 30 minutes (2nd most of his rookie season), stuffed the stat sheet defensively (2 steals, 2 blocks), had 8 REB+AST and got to the line (6/6 on free throws). A little regression to the mean from 3pt range vs a Boston team that is playing back-to-back as well and has NOT been defending the three well at home this season (allow 39% vs just 35% last season).”
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Deni Avdija, Trail Blazers, Over 7.5 rebounds (+105)
“Avdija ended ’24-25 as a monster 12+ rebound per game player. The Pelicans have been getting demolished on the boards by 4 per game and especially at home with a ridiculous -14 per game in 3 games. Avdija started the season with 4 straight under 7.5 rebound games and 6 of his first 7. As a result his line is down to 7.5 heavily juiced under,” Oh said. “I think if he came in with his recent 2-1 over stretch with 11 and 10 rebound games the line would be set at 8.5 juiced over or even 9.5 rebounds. We are projecting him for 8.3 rebounds and would charge -125 for over 7.5 boards.”
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Mark Williams, Suns, Over 12.5 points (-118)
“Anthony Davis may or may not be back but even if he’s back I doubt he’ll be in dominant form. He looks kind of heavy and not particularly motivated with the Mavs off to a bad start. The Suns on the other hand have been a very pleasant over .500 surprise and Mark Williams has provided 4 double doubles in his last 8 games,” Oh said. “We are getting a buy low spot because he only had 2 points in his last outing in just 20 minutes. But that was a game where the Suns dominated and won by 23 points. Mark Williams is very injury prone, enough to rescind last season’s trade to the Lakers. The Suns won’t play him in any garbage time situation where he’s not needed. But when he is needed he scores plenty. Since last season he has actually averaged a ton more (17) on the road than at home (12.4) and his over is 19-7, 73% on the road (just 11-17 at home). Prior to his 2 pt outing he came in 5-2 over this line.”
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Want more Wednesday NBA picks?
You’ve seen the model’s NBA picks for some popular NBA player props for Wednesday. Now, see NBA projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Also at SportsLine:
NBA expert Matt Severance is 25-15 (+679.5) in his first 40 NBA picks this season. See his latest NBA predictions here.
