We’ve got another exciting Eastern Conference matchup on the NBA schedule as the New York Knicks and Miami Heat are set to tip at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday at the Kaseya Center. Miami is 28-30 overall and 14-11 at home, while New York is 39-20 overall and 18-10 on the road. These two teams have split their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
The Knicks are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Knicks vs. Heat odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 220.5 points. The Knicks are -270 on the money line (risk $270 to win $100), while the Heat are +221 (risk $100 to win $221). Before entering any Heat vs. Knicks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on New York vs. Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:
- Heat vs. Knicks spread: Heat +6.5
- Heat vs. Knicks over/under: 220.5 points
- Heat vs. Knicks money line: Heat: +221, Knicks: -270
- Heat vs. Knicks picks: See picks here
- Heat vs. Knicks streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Knicks can cover
The Knicks are coming off an impressive victory on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies. The Knicks skirted by the Grizzlies 114-113 on Friday thanks to a clutch jump shot from OG Anunoby with five seconds remaining in the fourth quarter. The victory came about thanks to a strong surge starting at the 3:13 mark of the third quarter, when New York was facing an 84-72 deficit.
Guard Jalen Brunson paced the Knicks in scoring, finishing with 23 points. He also contributed seven rebounds and six assists against Memphis. For the season, Brunson is averaging 26.1 points, 7.4 assists and 2.9 rebounds per game. The Knicks are 13-4 in their last 17 games on the road and 4-2 against the spread in their past six meetings against Miami. See which team to pick here.
Why the Heat can cover
Meanwhile, even if it wasn’t a dominant performance, the Heat beat the Pacers 125-120 on Friday. Miami was down 58-46 with 6:00 left in the second quarter but they still came back for the win. The Heat’s win was the result of several impressive offensive performances. One of the most notable came from Tyler Herro, who had 29 points and seven assists. Another player making a difference was Bam Adebayo, who went 8 for 14 en route to 18 points plus seven assists and seven rebounds.
The Heat are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Miami is giving up only 110.8 points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. In addition, the Heat have won five of their last six home games against the Knicks. See which team to pick here.
How to make Knicks vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Knicks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Knicks, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-106 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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