The Milwaukee Bucks will host the Miami Heat on Sunday for an Eastern Conference matchup. Milwaukee is currently fifth in the East with a 31-24 record and is 4.5 games clear of dropping into the NBA play-in tournament. Meanwhile, Miami is eighth with a 26-28 mark on the season and is pretty comfortably in line to make the play-in. These two franchises have split their last 10 meetings both straight up and against the spread, but the Bucks have had the recent advantage with four wins and covers in their last five matchups with the Heat.
Tip-off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee is set for 6 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Heat odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 221.5. Before making any Heat vs. Bucks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second half of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-104 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-9 (67%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Milwaukee vs. Miami and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Bucks:
- Bucks vs. Heat spread: Milwaukee +5.5
- Bucks vs. Heat over/under: 221.5 points
- Bucks vs. Heat money line: Milwaukee -215, Miami +178
- MIL: Milwaukee has covered eight of its last 10 at home
- MIA: The Over has hit in nine of Miami’s last 11 in Milwaukee
- Bucks vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Bucks vs. Heat streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Bucks can cover
Milwaukee enters Sunday’s matchup on a three-game winning streak after capturing a 104-101 win over the Washington Wizards on Friday. Kyle Kuzma led the team with 19 points in the victory over his former team. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 18 points and six rebounds in just over 19 minutes of action because of foul trouble.
This will be the third game in four days for the Bucks and Antetokounmpo (calf) and Damian Lillard (hamstring) both appear on the injury report but are listed as probable. Lillard did not play the second night of the back-to-back against Washington but did play against the Clippers and was able to participate during NBA All-Star game festivities. See which team to pick here.
Why the Heat can cover
Meanwhile, the Heat managed a 120-111 victory over the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tyler Herro led the team with 28 points in the win and trade deadline acquisition Andrew Wiggins had 25 points and eight rebounds. Bam Adebayo supplied a double-double with 19 points and 12 rebounds, giving him 30 double-doubles on the season.
Miami shot 51.1% from the floor in the win while limiting Toronto to just 41.8% shooting from the field. The win was Miami’s first since completing the Jimmy Butler trade and now the Heat are hoping to see another productive night from their new big three, though Herro is probable with a shoulder injury. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bucks vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Miami vs. Milwaukee 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under the total, projecting 215 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Bucks, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Heat spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-104 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
