Warriors vs. Timberwolves is the only game on Thursday’s NBA schedule, so there aren’t as many options for NBA player props. Draymond Green had a serviceable Steph Curry (out, hamstring) impersonation with four made threes in Game 1, and his NBA props for threes in Game 2 is 1.5. Others with an over/under of 1.5 made three-pointers at FanDuel Sportsbook include Jimmy Butler, Julius Randle and Mike Conley. Curry’s absence will have a ripple effect for both teams, so how should that affect your NBA prop bets?
The SportsLine Projection Model enters the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, including a 3-0 mark in the playoffs, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns. Now, here are the best Thursday NBA props for 3-pointers, per the model.
Buddy Hield Over 3.5 made 3-pointers (+110)
After going 9 of 11 from downtown in the Game 7 win over Houston, Hield then stayed hot to start off this series. He hit 5 of 8 three-point attempts in Game 1, which is a continuation of his success from beyond the arc versus Minnesota. In the regular season, Hield knocked down 13 three-pointers over his last three games versus the Wolves, averaging 4.33 made attempts in those contests. Hield has been one of the most prolific 3P shooters of this era, as his 2,127 made threes since entering the league in 2016 only trail Curry’s 2,465. As a plus-money prop, the value is too good to pass up at FanDuel.
Plus, if you bet at FanDuel, you’ll get up to $200 in Bonus Bets if your first $5 bet wins.
Anthony Edwards Under 3.5 made 3-pointers (-114)
No player made (320) or attempted (811) more 3-pointers in the regular season than Edwards, and while the high quantity of attempts is still present in the postseason, the efficiency is not. Edwards has made just one of his last 17 three-point attempts, spanning the last two games of the series versus the Lakers, plus Game 1 versus Golden State. After that series opener, Wolves’ head coach, Chris Finch, then called out Edwards for a lack of energy. So, if Edwards is to respond with a spirited Game 2 performance, that would likely entail him attacking the rim and getting to the line rather than settling for outside jumpers. With that in mind, the model forecasts Edwards to make 3.2 three-pointers.
Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-180)
Podziemski is one of the players who stands to benefit the most from Curry’s absence as his offense will no longer be a luxury but rather a necessity. He’s proven himself to be ultra-aggressive, and productive, when Curry’s been sidelined as Podziemski has knocked down 15 of 32 three-pointers in the last four games he’s played when Curry did not suit up. That’s an average of 3.8 made three-pointers per game, and he’s actually made multiple 3Ps in each of his last five games in which Curry was inactive. His extra volume, plus high efficiency, make the Over the smart play as he’s projected to convert 2.3 three-point attempts.
The NBA prop odds for Over 1.5 are as low as -200 at some sportsbooks but are at -180 at both FanDuel and Caesars. Plus, Caesars as a unique promo where if you bet $1, you can double your winnings on your next 10 bets.
Want more NBA picks for tonight?
- You’ve seen the model’s NBA prop picks for some of the most popular props on Thursday. Now, get NBA projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
- You can also view expert betting advice before making Thursday NBA picks or player props. Visit SportsLine now to see expert Bruce Marshall’s picks. He’s 119-89-1 (+2102) over his last 209 NBA picks and he already has a pick locked in for Thursday.
- SportsLine also has multiple experts who specialize in player props and team props, including Mike Barner, who is 156-107 (+3063) over his last 263 NBA picks. Visit SportsLine now to see who Barner is including in his NBA picks for Thursday.
