The 2-seed Houston Rockets and the 7-seed Golden State Warriors are set to battle in Game 4 of their first-round series in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Monday. After splitting the series 1-1 in Houston, the Warriors defended their home court. In Game 3, Golden State defeated the Rockets 104-93. The Rockets went 23-17 as the road team this season, while the Warriors were 24-17 at home. Jimmy Butler (pelvis) is questionable for Golden State.
Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET from the Chase Center. Golden State is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Rockets vs. Warriors odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 200.5. Before locking in any Rockets vs. Warriors picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Rockets vs. Warriors 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Rockets vs. Warriors:
- Rockets vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -3.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Rockets vs. Warriors over/under: 200.5 points
- Rockets vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -175, Houston +145
- HOU: Rockets are 44-40-1 against the spread this season
- GS: Warriors are 43-40-3 against the spread this season
- Rockets vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Rockets vs. Warriors streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Warriors can cover
Guard Stephen Curry continues to be the best player for this team due to his playmaking and sharpshooting ability. Through three games, he’s leading the team in points (29) and assists (7) while shooting 45% from beyond the arc. Curry has scored more than 30 points in two of the three games thus far. In his last outing, Curry posted 36 points, seven boards and nine assists.
Guard Brandin Podziemski is another ball handler who can space the floor. Podziemski has dropped 10-plus points in two consecutive games, including 14 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the Game 1 win. During the season, he logged 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Rockets can cover
Center Alperen Sengun is a force in the frontcourt. Sengun is leading the team in points (19.3) and rebounds (12) with 1.7 steals per game. The 22-year-old has finished with a double-double in consecutive games. In his last outing, Sengun posted 15 points, 11 rebounds and four dimes.
Guard Dillon Brooks plays with high energy on the defensive end with a smooth jumper on the perimeter. Brooks averages 13.3 points, four rebounds, and makes 50% of his 3-pointers. The Oregon product has finished with double-digit points in three straight games. In Game 3, Brooks had 13 points, six boards and went 3-of-4 from downtown. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Rockets vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Rockets vs. Warriors and is leaning Over the total, projecting 207 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Rockets vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Warriors spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
