The Golden State Warriors will visit the Indiana Pacers in a cross-conference matchup on Friday’s NBA schedule. Indiana is 20-18 overall and 10-6 at home, while Golden State is 19-18 overall and 9-8 on the road. The Pacers just defeated the Warriors, 111-105, on the road on Dec. 23. Golden State is 19-18 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 NBA season, while Indiana is 18-19-1 versus the line.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana is favored by 8 points in the latest Warriors vs. Pacers odds, and the over/under is 223.5 points. Before entering any Pacers vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 133-97 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Golden State vs. Indiana. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Pacers:
- Pacers vs. Warriors spread: Pacers -8
- Pacers vs. Warriors over/under: 223.5 points
- Pacers vs. Warriors money line: Pacers: -306, Warriors: +245
- Pacers vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Pacers vs. Warriors streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Pacers can cover
The Warriors are hoping to do what the Chicago Bulls couldn’t on Wednesday: put an end to the Pacers’ winning streak, which now stands at four games. The Pacers strolled past Chicago, 129-113, with Thomas Bryant contributing to 22 points and eight rebounds in his first start of the season. Pascal Siakam was another key player, going 11 for 17 en route to 26 points plus six rebounds.
Indiana operates one of the most efficient offenses in the league, ranking fourth in both field goal percentage and 2-point percentage, while sitting eighth in 3-point percentage. The Pacers also have the spread advantage as they’ve covered in four straight, while the Warriors have failed to cover in three straight. Meanwhile, Golden State hasn’t released its injury report yet on the second night of a back-to-back, but Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) has missed the last three games. Plus, Steph Curry played last night but has sat out on the other half of the Warriors’ last three back-to-backs, so the team could be without its best player. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Warriors can cover
On Thursday, the Warriors escaped with a 107-104 victory over the Detroit Pistons, thanks to a balanced offensive attack. Six Warriors scored in between 11 and 19 points, led by Buddy Hield. Trayce Jackson-Davis had a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds, while Golden State’s bench outscored Detroit’s reserves 37-21.
Even with the presence of arguably the greatest shooter in NBA history in Curry, Golden State hangs its hat on the defensive end. It ranks in the top 10 in both steals and blocks, while also being the No. 3 rebounding team in the NBA. The Warriors also limit opponents to bottom-10 rankings in both field goal percentage and 3-point percentage, and they are facing an Indiana squad also dealing with a lengthy injury report. Myles Turner (illness) missed Wednesday’s game and is questionable for tonight, as is two-time All-Star, Tyrese Haliburton (ankle), while fellow starter, Aaron Nesmith (ankle), remains out. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Pacers vs. Warriors picks
The model has simulated Warriors vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Warriors on Friday, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Pacers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
