The San Antonio Spurs will look to draw even with the Oklahoma City Thunder when they meet in Game 4 of their NBA Western Conference final on Sunday night. Oklahoma City retook control of the series with a 123-108 win on Friday night. The Thunder (64-18), who won the Northwest Division title, are looking to win back-to-back NBA championships. The Spurs (62-20), who won the Southwest Division, are looking to reach the NBA Finals for the first time since 2013-14.
Tip-off from Frost Bank Center in San Antonio is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Spurs lead the all-time postseason series 20-17, and won the regular-season series 4-1. San Antonio is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Spurs odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 219.5. Before making any Spurs vs. Thunder picks, check out the Thunder vs. Spurs predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 26-10 roll (72%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Spurs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Spurs vs. Thunder:
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Thunder vs. Spurs spread: |
Spurs -2.5 at FanDuel |
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Thunder vs. Spurs over/under: |
219.5 points |
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Thunder vs. Spurs money line: |
Thunder +119, Spurs -140 |
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Thunder vs. Spurs picks: |
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Thunder vs. Spurs streaming: |
Fubo (Try for free) |
Top Spurs vs. Thunder predictions
After 10,000 simulations of Spurs vs. Thunder, SportsLine’s model is going Under on the total (219.5). The Under has hit in 26 of San Antonio’s last 47 home games, and in 50 of the last 95 Spurs games with one push against teams averaging more than 102 points per game. The Under also hit in three of the five regular-season head-to-head meetings between the teams.
The SportsLine model is projecting just three Thunder players to score 13 points or more, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 29.7 points. Victor Wembanyama is projected to lead the Spurs with 27.1 points scored, but just three San Antonio players are forecast to score 15 points or more. The teams are projected to combine for 219 total points as the Under hits in 51% of simulations, making it a great selection for anybody targeting NBA parlay betting. See the Thunder vs. Spurs spread pick at SportsLine, and you can bet the Under in Thunder vs. Spurs at FanDuel here:
How to make Spurs vs. Thunder picks
After simulating each possession of Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 times, the model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Thunder vs. Spurs, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Spurs spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
