Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger Aliassime
The numbers all say Sinner.
He’s ranked No. 2, Auger-Aliassime is No. 7. They played four times in 2025, and Sinner won all four. Right now he’s on a 14-match win streak, and he was 12-0 in Indian Wells and Miami. FAA was 3-2 during the Sunshine Swing.
Is there any hope for an upset, or a competitive contest? I’d say there are a couple of reasons, though you may have to squint to see them.
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On Thursday, Sinner surrendered his first set since February, to Tomas Machac. The Italian’s game briefly went haywire in the second set, and just when it appeared he would pull it out anyway, he faltered in the tiebreaker, too. At the same time, Auger-Aliassime was digging himself out of an 0-3 start against Casper Ruud, and playing some determined tennis to do it.
FAA has weapons, and while he has never won a title on clay, his serve-forehand combination works on all surfaces. Still, like most players, he doesn’t match up all that well against Sinner. His backhand can go awry, and if someone has a weakness, Sinner will find it, either with his serve or his probing, precise ground strokes.
Last year at the US Open, Auger-Aliassime won a set from him by playing extremely inspired tennis and taking over the rallies for about 45 minutes. If he can do that again, he’ll make this a match. But even then, I wouldn’t bet on him to win it. Winner: Sinner
