If you’re Musetti, you’re taking heart in the head-to-head. He leads de Minaur 3-1, and is 2-0 in 2025. He’ll also have the crowd behind him; in Rome this year, a similarly partisan audience helped him to the semifinals for the first time.
If you’re de Minaur, you’re focusing on the surface. His two losses to Musetti this season came on clay, and he’s beaten the Italian in their only hard-court meeting. According to Alcaraz, this year’s court has been slower than in the past, which helps de Minaur’s dynamic defense.
“Alex I think in this surface is really dangerous with his speed, his shots, his style,” Alcaraz said. “You have to win the point three, four times every time.”
Unfortunately for Musetti, he came to Turin straight from losing a final in Athens. He didn’t have much time to get used to this court, and it showed in his opener. I’m guessing de Minaur will still be a step ahead in that department on Tuesday.
The Pick: de Minaur
